Rogue Poll?

It's difficult to believe that the events of the last week or so would lead to an increase in Labour support. But that's exactly what the latest Guardian/ICM poll shows...

According to the Guardian, Labour have improved their polling position by 5 points on the previous ICM poll to narrow the gap between themselves and the Conservatives to just 5 points.

The poll shows the Conservatives on a 39% vote share, Labour on 34%, the Lib Dems on 19% and others on 9%.

Is this the start of a turnaround in fortunes for Gordon Brown? Or merely an abberation in an otherwise intransigent trend?

Mike Smithson over at Political Betting - an expert on these matters - refuses to be drawn either way.